Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.145088 0.165070 0.187238 0.213732 0.244631 0.279646 0.322496
2025-12-28 0.114612 0.141491 0.174260 0.217493 0.273534 0.344414 0.441947
2026-01-04 0.096428 0.126171 0.164981 0.220053 0.297364 0.403809 0.564591
2026-01-11 0.084251 0.115407 0.158316 0.222899 0.319714 0.462857 0.697098
2026-01-18 0.076050 0.108311 0.154842 0.228558 0.345648 0.530199 0.855163
2026-01-25 0.068426 0.100720 0.149171 0.229395 0.363441 0.587050 1.007754
2026-02-01 0.062012 0.093970 0.143617 0.229143 0.378752 0.641675 1.167913
2026-02-08 0.056274 0.087494 0.137526 0.226830 0.389692 0.689943 1.326607
2026-02-15 0.051315 0.081659 0.131676 0.223909 0.398720 0.735767 1.490719
2026-02-22 0.048416 0.078876 0.130537 0.229029 0.423280 0.815752 1.747418
2026-03-01 0.044548 0.074015 0.125209 0.225608 0.430483 0.861522 1.938239
2026-03-08 0.041712 0.070658 0.122161 0.226049 0.445426 0.926342 2.192298
2026-03-15 0.038981 0.067282 0.118813 0.225659 0.459026 0.991976 2.471114
2026-03-22 0.037211 0.065496 0.118258 0.230887 0.485883 1.094435 2.883744
2026-03-29 0.035338 0.063329 0.116723 0.233825 0.508036 1.190321 3.310890
2026-04-05 0.033656 0.061361 0.115356 0.236909 0.531040 1.293544 3.798335
2026-04-12 0.032418 0.060138 0.115347 0.242985 0.562425 1.426552 4.435456
2026-04-19 0.030793 0.057994 0.113208 0.243884 0.580858 1.527864 5.004677
2026-04-26 0.029205 0.055787 0.110713 0.243613 0.596201 1.623997 5.596605
2026-05-03 0.027569 0.053343 0.107472 0.241131 0.605165 1.703117 6.157973
2026-05-10 0.026018 0.050955 0.104135 0.237998 0.611830 1.776871 6.732498
2026-05-17 0.025234 0.050133 0.104209 0.243491 0.644350 1.944291 7.804416
2026-05-24 0.023854 0.047913 0.100902 0.239821 0.649085 2.018213 8.481029